Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026473 0.028531 0.030599 0.032830 0.035166 0.037535 0.040118
2025-11-30 0.022456 0.025669 0.029019 0.032757 0.036798 0.041024 0.045762
2025-12-07 0.019622 0.023454 0.027558 0.032252 0.037444 0.042983 0.049313
2025-12-14 0.017384 0.021617 0.026260 0.031684 0.037796 0.044428 0.052121
2025-12-21 0.015403 0.019888 0.024918 0.030908 0.037774 0.045333 0.054219
2025-12-28 0.014553 0.019376 0.024885 0.031545 0.039281 0.047895 0.058122
2026-01-04 0.013523 0.018570 0.024440 0.031643 0.040117 0.049656 0.061088
2026-01-11 0.012506 0.017710 0.023870 0.031537 0.040670 0.051055 0.063610
2026-01-18 0.011955 0.017382 0.023904 0.032120 0.042005 0.053338 0.067139
2026-01-25 0.011156 0.016693 0.023456 0.032086 0.042580 0.054716 0.069603
2026-02-01 0.010436 0.016063 0.023044 0.032065 0.043143 0.056059 0.072012
2026-02-08 0.009779 0.015477 0.022657 0.032045 0.043686 0.057362 0.074363
2026-02-15 0.009033 0.014768 0.022124 0.031871 0.044089 0.058566 0.076689
2026-02-22 0.008366 0.014138 0.021675 0.031797 0.044618 0.059935 0.079243
2026-03-01 0.007592 0.013310 0.020926 0.031302 0.044593 0.060612 0.080947
2026-03-08 0.006862 0.012497 0.020157 0.030745 0.044459 0.061131 0.082442
2026-03-15 0.006122 0.011622 0.019261 0.029984 0.044035 0.061267 0.083452
2026-03-22 0.005911 0.011520 0.019417 0.030609 0.045377 0.063586 0.087130
2026-03-29 0.005542 0.011155 0.019190 0.030705 0.046028 0.065041 0.089748
2026-04-05 0.005138 0.010710 0.018828 0.030602 0.046407 0.066148 0.091932
2026-04-12 0.004964 0.010618 0.018963 0.031172 0.047666 0.068362 0.095493
2026-04-19 0.004627 0.010242 0.018670 0.031140 0.048121 0.069556 0.097785
2026-04-26 0.004316 0.009888 0.018394 0.031118 0.048582 0.070751 0.100077